The United States
of America will host the first U.S-Africa Summit on 5-6 August 2014 in
Washington DC. The U.S wishes to use the Summit to strengthen ties with
Africa, the world’s most dynamic and fastest-growing continent. The
Summit will build on Obama's trip to Africa last year and will focus on
enhancing the U.S-Africa trade and investment relations, cooperation on
security and ensuring democracy in the territories of the parties.
In hosting the
Summit, the U.S joins regions the likes of EU and Japan which have held
such high level meetings before with African leaders. As Obama's
administration has observed, Africa is increasingly growing into
economic power house and is attracting and shifting the focus of the
hitherto global economic powers. China has also changed the landscape
and lenses through which the west looks at Africa. China is currently
the single largest bilateral source of annual foreign direct investment
(FDI) in Africa’s 54 countries. China’s investment in Africa of various
kinds exceeds $40 billion, among which $14.7 billion is direct
investment. In addition to investments, China's aid to Africa is almost
free of conditionalities and is directed mainly to physical and
productive infrastructure. Africa is, therefore, slowly turning to China
something that is, to the west, a worrying development.
The west had until
now capitalized on its aid and unilateral offers for trade preferences
(the likes of AGOA and EBA) in attracting loyalty from African
countries. On the basis of the existing or prospected aid, Africa
assured investment deals and exported raw materials to the west. With
Africa growing out of this economic doldrums end now beginning to
influence the global economics, the west is worried and is changing
strategies to ensure that either the status quo is maintained or if the
change is inevitable, then it should remain in their favour.
In light of the
above, the U.S has embarked on the process of reviewing the AGOA in
order to ascertain its relevance and possibly refocus and align it with
the current dynamics in Africa. In this regard the United States
Trade Representative (USTR) launched fours studies in 2013 aimed at
informing the U.S on how to move forward with the AGOA come 2015 and
generally in focusing the U.S-Africa Trade and investment relations.
The first study will
assess the trade and investment performance of the AGOA and the impact
it has had on the economies of sub-Saharan Africa. More importantly to
the U.S, the study will review the the AGOA against the existing
current or potential sub-Saharan African reciprocal trade agreements and
the objectives of AGOA. This will certainly be a big factor in the reauthorization of the AGOA. What is clear here is that the study will asses
the implications of the Economic Partnership Agreements the European
Union has or is negotiating with Africa against the non reciprocal
unilateral arrangements (such as the AGOA) which until now, has been
the basis for U.S-Africa trade and investment relations.
The second
investigation, will assess the economic effects of providing duty-free
treatment for AGOA imports on U.S. industries and consumers. In other
words, the study will asses whether the AGOA is enabling access to raw
materials and or promoting industrialization in the US. The study may
also assess whether the AGOA optimizes or undermines the welfare of the
U.S consumer. If the reverse is true, that is, if the AGOA is making the
U.S consumer worse off and is promoting competition with U.S industries
thereby impacting on the employment capacity of the country, then its
reauthorization might be brought into question.
The third
investigation is aimed at identifying possible changes to the rules of
origin under the AGOA with the potential to increase exports from
Africa. The issue here to note is that the U.S will be looking at how
the AGOA rules of origin are promoting increased exports from Africa.
Looking closely at this study together with the first two, one begins
noticing that interest of U.S will be at the forefront in the reauthorization of the AGOA.
The fourth
investigation will assess the impact of the EU-South Africa free trade
agreement on U.S. exports to South Africa.This last study tells it all.
The colonial masters are it again. The scramble for Africa has been
relaunched to counteract the struggle for an economic independence which
seems to be a new resolve by the African countries.
The dynamics in
Africa have changed and the strategies of engagement are also changing.
EU-Africa Summit will be held in April 2014. The first ever U.S-Africa
Summit will be held in August 2014. China and Japan also began this kind
of engagement with Africa in the last decade.
To understand what is
behind the new economic and power strugles, one needs to read through
the declaration of ministers in charge of foreign affairs, foreign trade
and international co-operation at the end of their conference on
China-Africa Cooperation held in 2000. One of the paragraphs reads "We
reaffirm that the injustice and inequality in the current international
system are incompatible with the trend of the times towards world peace
and development, hinder the development of the countries of the South
and pose threats to international peace and security. We stress that the
establishment of a just and equitable new international political and
economic order is indispensable for the democratisation of international
relations and for the effective participation of developing countries
in the international process of decision-making."
Okay, there you
have it, Africa has come out of the political and economic doldrums and
this is threatening the global stability. All the powers seem to me
going back to the drawing board but this time round Africa is being
invited to the table. The question remains, will Africa come out the
winner?
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