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Friday, November 2, 2012

The 16th COMESA Summit in Kampala to Focus on MSMEs Development



Uganda will host the 16th Summit of the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) Heads of State and Government on 23rd-24th November, 2012. The 16th COMESA Summit will be held under the “Enhancing Intra-COMESA Trade Through MSMEs Development,” as a way of emphasizing the importance and central role that Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) are playing in the economies of our Member States. This is good news because it shows that the leaders of COMESA are now finally embarking on promoting MSMEs and enabling them to access the intra-regional market.

An EAC study of 2010 indicates that the MSMEs sub-sector is the biggest employer and constitutes about 90% of the private sector in the EAC region with contributions to GDP of 20% in Uganda, 33% in Tanzania and 50% in Kenya. Despite this significance of the MSMEs, the report shows that the subsector is sometimes regarded as constituting survivalist entities operated by school leavers and job seekers awaiting formal employment, retirees, retrenchees or people supplementing their low incomes from formal jobs.

The study also shows that the activities in MSMEs are mostly characterized by easy entry and exit, self-employment with a high proportion of family workers and apprentices, reliance on indigenous resources, small scale of operation with little capital and equipment, high labour intensity, limited adaptation of modern technology, low skills with acquisition of skills mostly outside the formal schooling system, lack of access to organized markets for key resources (financial markets, education and training) and lack of access to supporting services. According to the study the subsector is seen as functioning as a fallback position. This outlook has sometimes not helped to develop MSMEs especially micro into dynamic private sector activities.

It is therefore well-timed for the 16th COMESA Summit to seize this opportunity and recorgonise the role played by the MSMEs. If implemented, the measures to be put in place by the heads of state should put the COMESA region on the right path to achieving sustainable development. COMESA needs to attain competitive intra-regional trade and investment in order to achieve its development goals. The 16th COMESA Summit should therefore development measures to support Member States enhancing the capacity of entrepreneurs especially the small and medium enterprises with a view to enabling the region attain market competitiveness supported by high-tech production and inter-connected market systems.

COMESA and the Member States must support the MSMEs to enable them meaningfully become the private sector sought to be the backbone of the economy. Effective measures are required to support the MSMEs in; ensuring that production is aligned to market standards, harmonizing policies and regulations impacting on both internal and cross border trade and investment; facilitating the free and faster flow of goods and services; improving information flow of market opportunities; improving and simplifying access to trade finance; opening and widening portential investment and trade opportunities; enabling transfer of appropriate technology and promoting regional business linkages and transactions, among others

The 16th COMESA Summit is expected to among others discuss the COMESA Free Trade area, COMESA Customs Union and the EAC, SADC, COMESA Tripartite free trade area. Other issues that are likely to be on the agenda include reports on the directive by the Heads of State to the COMESA to work with member states in the establishment of Science, Technology and Innovation Parks, and priority industry clusters and the development of mechanism for exchange and sharing of experiences amongst Member States

At the sidelines of the Summit, the private sector will hold a business forum under theme “Promoting Intra-COMESA Trade through Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise Development – Seizing Opportunities for Innovation and Prosperity in Business”. The forum presents an opportunity for the private sector form the COMESA region to dialogue and work with Governments in determining policy interventions necessary to create an enabling business environment. This forum should help bring out relevant regulatory reforms and interventions that for COMESA to undertake in promoting the growth and emancipation of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The forum should also review and come up with clear and robust innovative ideas and conventional ways of strengthening the SMEs in order to attain meaningful intra-regional trade and sustainable regional development.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Progress on the EAC-US Trade and Investment Partnership

The East African Community (EAC) and the United States Government announced on 19th October 2012 the progress under the EAC-U.S. Trade and Investment Partnership (TIP). In their Joint Statement issued on Friday last week, the EAC Ministers of trade and investment in the EAC Partner States and the Deputy United States Trade Representative (USTR) announced that they have taken "important steps" to advance the Partnership.

Releasing the Joint Statement the Minister of Trade, Industry and Cooperative, Hon Amelia Kyambadde who co-chaired the Joint Press Conference noted that the new initiative will support the economic integration of the EAC and enhances the EAC-U.S. trade and investment partnership. The Hon Minister said that the new Partnership is built on the recognition of the important role that trade and investment play in economic and social development including job creation, both in East Africa and the United States.

On his part, the Deputy USTR said that the EAC and the United States agreed on a framework to move forward on the establishment of a Commercial Dialogue, which will be formally launched in late November 2012. Commercial Dialogue is a component under the TIP that establishes a consultative mechanism which will serve as a cornerstone of linking and engaging Governments with the private sector of both Parties. The dialogue will focus on promoting effective public-private partnership, which are a critical mechanism for attracting greater U.S. investments to the EAC region, especially in the area of infrastructure development, supply of services, mineral development and manufacturing. The Dialogue will implement its activities through targeted sector trade missions, activities and events; coordinated programs between U.S. agencies and their EAC counterparts in conjunction with trade associations and the diaspora. The East African Business Council will lead the EAC private sector in engaging with their counterparts in the U.S.  

According to the Joint Statement the EAC and the United States also agreed that their respective technical teams will meet at the soonest possible date for further consultations and negotiation on the other three components of the EAC-U.S Trade and Investment Partnership, that is; a bilateral investment treaty, a trade facilitation agreement and continued capacity building.

The Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) aims at;
·        Protecting investments in the territories of either Party where investor rights are not already protected through existing agreements;
  • Encouraging the adoption of market-oriented domestic policies that treat private investment in an open, transparent, and non-discriminatory way; and
  • Supporting the development and application of international law and standards consistent with the objectives of the cooperation.
The Parties will also negotiate and sign a Trade Facilitation Agreement which will provide for development and implementation of policies that promoted efficiency in the territories of the Parties through reduced transaction costs associated with the enforcement, regulation, and administration of trade policies.

The technical teams will further discuss and agree on the trade capacity building assistance, including identification and agreement of priority areas for support under the Trade and Investment Partnership. The EAC has identified the priority areas for the U.S support under the EAC-U.S Trade and Investment Partnership including the strengthening of region Integration by supporting EAC Partner States on
  • Harmonizing customs regulations, improving customs inter-connectivity and harmonization of standards, 
  • Development of  an efficient regional payment system, customs and  financial market integration 
  • Establishment of an efficient regional infrastructure
  • Promotion of technology transfer
  • Development of capacity for trade and business development.
Through consultations the EAC will identify more priority areas for support under the EAC-U.S Trade and Investment Partnership. The negotiations may include development of a binding mechanism for delivery and implementation of the program under the capacity building support. 

The EAC Ministers acknowledged that the United States already provides substantial assistance to the EAC Partner States and the Secretariat, including an additional amount of up to $10 million (ten million United States Dollars) that the United States will provide over the next five years to the EAC Secretariat to support regional economic integration.

As the next step, the EAC Ministers and the USTR agreed to advance the EAC-U.S Trade and Investment Partnership within their respective administrations. They also agreed to hold their next Ministerial meeting on the margins of the 2013 AGOA Forum.

The EAC-U.S TIP negotiation process was initiated and announced by the EAC Ministers of Trade and the USTR at the AGOA Forum in Washington D.C. earlier this year. In the first Joint Statement released on 14th June 2012, the EAC and U.S announced that the new EAC-U.S. Partnership will build on the foundations of the existing trade and investment relationship, including the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), and the U.S.-EAC Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA). In addition, the Statement indicates that the TIP will provide new business opportunities to U.S. and EAC firms by reducing trade barriers, improving the business environment, encouraging open investment regimes, and enhancing two-way trade. It is hoped that the EAC-U.S Trade and Investment Partnership arrangement will also serve as a building block towards a more comprehensive trade agreement over the long term.

The EAC-U.S. Trade and Investment Partnership is also an important component of the U.S. Strategy Toward Sub-Saharan Africa, which President Obama announced in June 2012. The Strategy outlines four main pillars which include.
  1. Strengthening democratic institutions,
  2. Promoting economic development,
  3.  Ensuring regional security, and
  4. Continuing to improve development assistance initiatives.
The strategy makes clear that the focus of Obama’s plan lies in the first two pillars.

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Lesson on High Level Poverty Problems in Africa Vs the U.S. and China

I am sure you have been told that high poverty levels is one of the major problems in Africa. But hold your thought and may be assess it after you have read this post. Should the high level of poverty in Africa be a source of concern to the international community? Should we be worried about the poverty level based on the specific numbers or on the ratios? The total of all people in Uganda (34.5m, 2011) , Botswana (2.09m), Swaziland(1.38m), Namibia (2.16m) would be below the poverty line in America.  A report from Indiana University found out that increasing numbers of Americans are still below the poverty line. In 2006, it was 36.5 million people, by 2010, it was 46.2 million and a further increase was predicted for 2011, given the way the economic crisis has dragged on.

Interestingly all the above African countries are beneficiaries of the support to reduction of poverty from the U.S. in one way or another. One element that you may need to note is that a poor person in the United States is actually poor. In Uganda about 32% (about 11 million people) of the population leave below poverty line, i.e. they earn less than a dollar a day.  But come to think of it, all these people continue to live without external support. In other words, they earn just enough survive marginally. An American in the same position must get supported or he or she will starve. Could it be that the problems in Africa are not well analyzed or if they are, may be they construed to fit some interests?

So why do reach countries continue to support less developed countries on the fight against poverty in Africa when in their countries the situation is staggering also? China has over 100 million people living below the poverty line. Actually all the people in Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya would be below poverty line in China despite its emergence as the world's second largest economy. Yet China continues to pump money to African economies instead of concentrating on elevating its own people out of poverty. Of course the amount of money China is using in country to fight poverty is excessive but I am sure that if they diverted what they are spending in the continent, purportedly to solve problems in Africa, they would have everybody in china above the poverty line.

Could it be that developed countries continue to support Africa such that they too can keep their own poverty levels low? What i do not understand, is why a breadwinner of a household would donate food to a neighbor at the time when his or her own family is starving? Could this happen in a situation where it is also true that the continued survival of the house hold would be guaranteed, only and only, when the purported starving neighbor must also be given aid?   Could it be true that developed countries actually continue to support developing countries as a mechanism to reducing economic imbalances in their home countries?

If we do not consider ratios and instead use absolute numbers, do we come to a conclusion that poverty in Africa is higher than the level in other continents? If in country A there are more people who are actually poor but ratio wise they are fewer in comparison with country B, does that mean that A is better than B?

The other irony which still eludes my mind is the fact the gap between the poor and the rich in the developed countries is also staggeringly high. Again this is one of the reported problems in Africa. But according to a 2010 Federal Reserve Board report, the net worth for all United States households was $53.1trillion. The net worth of the poorest 60% of U.S. households was $1.26 trillion. The net worth for the Forbes 400 was $1.37 trillion.  Therefore, the richest 400 people in the United States have more wealth than the bottom 60%, nearly 160 million people (Forbes, 2010, September 22). But how is this being acceptable by America when in their drive to ensure good governance in the developing countries, this is one of their biggest concerns?

We in the developing countries what lessons do we learn from the above situation. Some school of economist believes that a country requires a middle class for it also to be a middle income country.   It is easier and cost effective to collect taxes from a few than it is from very many people. Fewer but rich can easily be mobilized to support a developmental goal of the country than when they are many. Resources are limited and if they are in the hands of the many they are scattered and will have minimal incidence to the economy and to the individuals owning them. For effective utilization of resources, they must be concentrated and specialized in the production process. For these reasons, a middle class is inevitable and will always be a small fraction of the population. 

Probably the U.S. is following up from the above arguments.  But in Africa the development of a middle class where the so rich are fewer is discouraged. The developed countries are at the helm of discouraging African from pursuing this line. Instead we are advised that in order to solve problems in Africa, we should ensure that everybody averagely wealthier. In other words scatter resources so that almost no one has the ability to form a global corporate company that can influence global market dynamics. Can Africa learn to learn from the development path of their colonial masters?

Friday, July 27, 2012

EAC-US Begin Discussion on Trade and Investment Partnership, 26th July 2012, Arusha, Tanzania

The East African Community has begun consultations with the United States Government with a view to starting negotiations on the Trade and Investment Agreement (TIP). The negotiations of the EAC-US Trade and Investment Agreement are based on the Policy Strategy of Presidents Obama's Administration’s on Sub-Saharan Africa which was released on June 14 2012, The Strategy outlines four main pillars which include.
  1. Strengthening democratic institutions,
  2. Promoting economic development,
  3.  Ensuring regional security, and
  4. Continuing to improve development assistance initiatives. The strategy makes clear that the focus of Obama’s plan lies in the first two pillars.
The EAC-US Trade and Investment consultation meeting which began on 26th July 2012 in Arusha, Tanzania is in response to the directive of EAC Ministers responsible for trade and the United States Trade Representative in a Joint Statement released on June 14, 2012 on the sidelines of the AGOA Forum between the United States and the East African Community (EAC) Partner States, in Washington, D.C. The Statement recognizes the importance of strengthening the economic links between the United States and East Africa, by pursuing a new Trade and Investment Partnership between the United States and the East African Community. 

Through the EAC-US Trade and Investment Partnership the parties will build on the foundations of our existing trade and investment relationship, including the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), and the U.S-EAC Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA) to provide new business opportunities to U.S. and EAC firms by reducing trade barriers, improving the business environment, encouraging open investment regimes, and enhancing our two-way trade.

In the Joint Statement the parties agreed to explore under the new umbrella partnership; a regional investment treaty, a trade facilitation agreement, continued trade capacity building assistance, and a commercial dialogue. It hoped that these agreements and other activities that they will pursue will help to promote EAC regional integration, economic growth, and expand and diversify EAC-US Trade and Investment. They could also serve as building blocks towards a more comprehensive trade agreement over the long term. The Joint Statement directs the respective technical teams to begin consultations on each of the agreed areas of the EAC-US Trade and Investment Partnership.
In the meeting, the parties proposed an ambitious timeframe for regular engagements at all levels which will include Experts, Senior Officer and Ministerial levels as indicated in the table below.

EAC Side
US Side
1.
EAC Ministers led by Trade Ministers
USTR
2.
Permanent Secretaries (Senior Officer)
Assistant STR Africa Affairs
3.
EAC Experts Officials
US Expert officials

The US team expressed interest in understanding the state of play on the trade and investment regimes in the EAC Community. A number of areas were highlighted for consideration in the development of the Investment Treaty whose main objective is to increase FID to the EAC region. They include provisions on;
  1. National Treatment and Most Favoured National principals as applied at the WTO
  2. Fair and Equitable treatment
  3. Free transfer of capital
  4. Obligation on compensation in cases of expropriation
  5. Transparency especially on publication of policies
  6. Allowing advance comments on new policies
  7. Rights of investors on recruitment of personnel
  8. Performance Requirements, and
  9. Dispute settlement mechanism
The Investment Treaty will allow policy space for either party to act in a manner that contravenes the agreed terms for example in situations where there is a security or a balance of payments issue. It will not necessary include sector specific provisions. Negotiations will follow after initial consultations on the investment regimes operations in the jurisdictions of the two parties. The consultations will then highlight the areas for negotiations as part of the process to developing the Treaty. The meeting agreed to hold regular technical committees meetings in order to generate enough workload for the Ministers.

On Trade Facilitation the US indicated that they are interested in improved customs processes and procedures. They listed the following areas as the areas to be negotiated
  1. Publication and Transparency
  2. Simplified procedures and faster release of goods
  3. Expedited Shipments
  4. Appeals
  5. Advance rulings
  6. Simplified procedures and guarantees on transit goods
  7. Implementing a Leniency system on the Penalty regime
  8. Exchange of information on customs procedures
  9. Elimination of consular fees and formalities
The EAC on its part expressed interest in negotiating additional areas such as;
  1. The simplification of SPS and Rules of Origin to exporting to the US,
  2. Removal other non-tariff barriers to exporting to the US
  3. Cooperation on development and implementing IPR regime within the EAC
  4. Trade infrastructure development 
Regarding Capacity Building, the US shared with the EAC the areas the possible areas support relating to trade and investment. These include;
  • Customs Union: Harmonizing Customs Regulations, evaluations, clearance audit and customs interconnectivity, harmonizing standards on staple foods, and supporting to member states on harmonizing SPS
  • Common Market: development of efficient payment systems including electronic cross border payments, integrated border management, implementation of the simplified certificate of origin, development of a web based trade statistical data base( www.rfbs.in ), and financial market integration 
  • Regional Infrastructure: development of financial regional infrastructure, ICT development, technology transfer and infrastructure investment as a whole
  • Regional Productive Structure:  Integrating staple foods into the regional markets through improved technology, provision of inputs and increasing private sector investment in the region. Support is also directed to cleaner energy and global climate change as part of the effort to promote sustainable natural resource management
  • Support to EAC Institutions: Support has been support to Lake Victoria Basin Commission on the water trans-boundary water for biodiversity in the Mara-River Basin Initiative. The US Government also supports the safe skies for Africa including the EAC on establishing Civil Aviation Safety and Security Oversight Organization
  • Training on policy development, SPS, codex etc
On Commercial dialogue, the meeting noted that the proposed consultations process will serve as a cornerstone of linking, informing Governments on private sector priorities. The forum will help in linking the private sector agenda to Government programs. It is proposed that the dialogue should focus on promoting effective public-private partnership (PPPs), which are a critical mechanism for attracting greater U.S. investment, to the EAC region, especially for infrastructure projects. The dialogue will implement its activities through: targeted sector trade missions; coordinated programs between U.S. agencies and their EAC counterparts in conjunction with trade associations, regional and diaspora chamber activities and events.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

African Union Summit Concluded With Commitment on Increasing Intra-Africa Trade, Addis, 16 July 2012


African Union Summit concluded in Addis Ethiopia on 16 July 2012, with African Leaders committing on the theme of the Summit “boosting intra-Africa trade”. The Summit which elected Ms Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma of South Africa as Chairperson of the African Union Commission Mr. Erastus Mwencha of Kenya to be the Deputy, noted the need infrastructure development with a view to linking up the continent. The Summit also emphasized the principal of progressive integration and allowing the regional blocs to consolidate their integration goals as part of the process promoting intra-Africa trade. 

One speech was particularly spot on. This was the speech by the President of Uganda, H.E Yoweri Kaguta Museveni. The President noted that intra-Africa trade is low because the continent is not linked. He noted that the construction of the hardcore surface roads and railways which link the East Africa region to Kisangani, Juba and Addis Ababa is must. 

On energy, President Museveni reminded his counterparts that Africa generates very little energy which cannot enable the continent improve intra-Africa Trade not even meeting its minimum industrial development goals . He noted that the sub-Saharan countries excluding South Africa produce only 28 GW of electricity equivalent to the output capacity of Argentina or just 2 more GW of what is produced by Norway. President Museveni said that whereas countries like the US have a Kilowatt Hour (KWH) Per Capita of about 13000, some countries in Africa only have a KWH per capita of 12. He also compared Africa with some of the emerging economies such as Singapore whose KWH per capita is 7948, South Africa 4532 and Libya 4170. The President noted that although Uganda has achieved the KWH per capita of 200 up from 28, this is not yet enough to enabling the country attain industrial development.

President Museveni called on Africa to wakeup and address infrastructural constraints which he said are hindering intra-Africa trade development. The President called on the friends of Africa to support the continent in building and enhancing infrastructure rather than just talking about other small things such as homosexuals noting that “even the homosexuals need electricity”. The President also highlighted the need for African Governments to improve on connectivity especially in the area of air and maritime transport which he said that their contribution to intra-Africa trade has been insignificant. He also observed that deficiencies in the communication sector are also hindering intra-Africa trade development noting that currently it easier and cheaper for business persons to call their European counterparts than those in Africa, a situation he said deos not facilitate intra-Africa trade.

The meeting also reviewed the progress in achieving the Millennium Development Goals noting that although some progress has been made especially in regard to poverty reduction, education and emancipation of women and youth, the continent has not done well in other areas.

On the conflict situation in Africa, the African Leaders condemned the acts of Al-Shabab in Somalia, the LRA in East and Central Africa, the rebels in DRC and Mali. The leaders resolved to take action on the rebels in Mali. The Summit recognized the efforts of the AMISON, the African Union Mission in Somalia. Countries such as Uganda, Kenya, Burundi and Ethiopia were particularly appreciated for their efforts in ensuring peace and security in Somalia. The leaders also called on Sudan and South Sudan to observe peace and cease hostilities. 

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

G-20 Governments Demonstrate Leadership-A call in the Interagency Report



Formed in 1999, the G-20 represents 85% of the world’s economy and two-thirds of world’s population. The G-20 aims at providing developing countries with a better position to influence the dynamics of the global economy. Now, the Interagency Report on “Sustainable Agricultural Productivity Growth And Bridging The Gap For Small-Family Farms” recommends that G20 Governments should “demonstrate leadership in multilateral negotiations. The  Interagency Report which was published on 12 June 2012 by a group of multilateral organization (Bioversity, CGIAR Consortium, FAO, IFAD, IFPRI, IICA, OECD, UNCTAD, Coordination team of UN High Level Task Force on the Food Security Crisis, WFP, World Bank, and WTO), emphasizes the need for G-20 need to demonstrate leadership in order to strengthen international disciplines on all forms of import and export restrictions, as well as on domestic support schemes that distort production incentives”.  

The  Interagency Report, which was used as a key input in the discussions of the G20 Agricultural Group, was compiled in response to the request to international organization by the G20 President early 2012 in Mexico to examine practical actions that could be undertaken to sustainably improve agricultural productivity growth, in particular on small family farms. The  Interagency Report states that “substantially reducing trade and production distorting domestic support, improving market access opportunities, eliminating export subsidies and strengthening the disciplines on export restrictions will improve the enabling environment for investment and productivity growth”.

The Interagency Report also notes the critical role played by the WTO’s Sanitary and Phytosanitary Agreement in contributing to the reduction of production losses due to pests and diseases, and the need to support capacity building in this field, including through the Standards and Trade Development Facility.

Monday, April 2, 2012

Africa Needs Development Infrastructure Rather than Transit ones

African countries do not lack infrastructure, rather they lack what  i refer  as targeted production and trade development infrastructure. I know this might seem confusing but come to think of it, is there  any country without basic roads or without airports? I am yet to find one. All the countries i have visited do have at least basic infrastructure.

So then what is the problem? why is it that infrastructure remains part of the supply side constraints to most of the African countries. The problem is in the purpose and why the existing infrastructure was established in the first place.   Actually most of the roads are used for transit of persons from one end to another. They are not used as development infrastructure.

A development infrastructure to me, as that one which harnesses forward and backward linkages in the production process. In other-words, the roads should actually carry consignments of course together with the people. But the case in most of the African countries is a reverse. Most roads carry people without consignments. Where they carry consignments, it is one way, no return journeys are made with goods. To me such a road is not a development road, it is just a transit road.

A similar scenario pertains to other modes of transport, the rails, air and water transport. They are simply used for transit but not for development.

My call to all African Government is to think of utilizing infrastructure for development rather continuing to think we do not have relevant infrastructure. Just anchor at one end of the road a value addition project and at on other end a project that provides inputs to the one of value addition. Make sure that in between the road, there are other investment that enhances the projects either by supplying to them or by utilizing their outputs. This way the concept of development infrastructure will be meaningful. This way we will even be able to estimate the benefits of the road we intend to construct. By the way, how do the planners estimate the benefits of the roads constructed due to political pressures rather than an economic demand ?

Thursday, February 9, 2012

Exports of Commercial Services from Africa Remain far Below that of Other Economies

Exports of Commercial Services from Africa have grown at an average of 9% from 2007 to the third quarter of 2011. However, Africa’s exports of commercial services remain far behind that of other economies. An analysis of the latest data from the WTO, shows that world exports in commercial services increased by 12.9% in the third quarter of 2011 compared to 10.9% in 2010 (balance-of-payments basis, current price, not seasonally adjusted). On average the growth in Africa was 7.8% by the third quarterof 2011 from 10.9 of the year 2010. The highest growth on exports of commercial services was recorded in Europe at an average of 15% by end of the third quarter of 2011 down from 2.7% in 2010. In absolute terms exports of commercial services from Africa were $45,835 million by end of the third quarter of 2011 compared to $67,459 million which was recorded for the whole year of 2010.  


Please read more on Exports of Commercial Services from Africa



Thursday, January 26, 2012

Liberalization of Trade in Services without Effective Regulations Could Increase Capital Flight in Africa

Liberalization of trade in services could lead to increased capital flight in African which in-turn could curtail the developments efforts. Capital flight I am addressing here is the movement of money from investments in one country to another in search of better returns or as a way of avoiding country’s risks such as high inflation, overvaluing or undervaluing of exchange rates, political turmoil, very low or very high interest rates. Unlike investments in the production of goods, trade in services does not require capital intensive investments. Because trade in services includes transaction with a large cross section of society, if the capital account is not well managed, the resulting capital flight could lead to loss of investments especially in infrastructure, plant and equipment, and human capital. Given that capital is so scarce in Africa than in developed countries, the impact of capital flight is likely to be higher in Africa than in the West.
Taking an example of my country in as far liberalisation of trade in services is concerned, out of 23 commercial banks, only one is indigenous and 50% of market share is in the hands of the three foreign banks.  In the insurance sector, three foreign companies out of more than 27 in the country control the market.  The airline industry is fully liberalized with more than 23 airlines serving both the domestic and international routes and out of this only 3 of are indigenous.  All the five main telecommunication companies serving 8.555 million are not indigenous.   A similar situation exists in the other sectors such the retail chains, construction services, foreign exchange bureaus and in hotel and tourism sectors.     
The above situation presupposes that my country is doing well on foreign direct investments in the area of trade in services.  But we also run an open capital account implying that investor are free to transfer their returns to investment back to their countries or to other countries where they feel that they can fetch more. Although an open capital account is favoured because it incentivizes and attracts foreign direct investment, in the absence of an effective regulation on how much should be repatriated, my country may find itself being used just as a market and a center for accessing inputs. It could end up being used to provide labour, utilities and market to the service providers but without them contributing much to growth and development of the country. An open capital account along with liberalization of trade in services could increase capital flight and create a situation where the returns to investment benefit other countries which are the source of the investment, that is, the developed or more developed developing countries. 
Like the name presupposes, people require services in their day-to-day lives and therefore trade in services is a process of satisfying that need.  But unlike trade in goods, trade in services tends to involve a clientele of a bigger portion of society. In a situation where the majority people are clients to a service provider, failure to plough back returns to investment can result into disenfranchising the population and thus derailing poverty reduction efforts.  
Africa is already in worse situation in as far as capital flight is concerned and therefore there is need to curtail this practice.  James K. Boyce and Léonce Ndikumana estimated that between 1996 capital flight from Africa totaled more than $193 billion . Dev Kar and Sarah Freitas in their report on “Illicit Financial Flows from developing countries” indicate that over the decade ending 2009 capital outflows increased at least by 10.2% over the decade with Africa’s rate growing the fastest at 22.3%. Dev Kar and Devon Cartwright-Smith  in their report on “Illicit Financial Flows from Africa: Hidden Resource for Development” show  that  over  the  39-year period Africa lost an astonishing  US$854 billion  in cumulative capital flight—enough  to not only wipe out the region’s total  external  debt  outstanding  of  around  US$250  billion  (at end-December,  2008)  but potentially  leave  US$600 billion  for  poverty  alleviation  and economic growth. Instead, cumulative illicit flows from the continent increased from about US$57 billion in the decade of the 1970s to US$437 billion over the nine years 2000-2008. In other words, Africa is a net creditor and not a debtor of the rest of the world as we are made to believe.  
But being a net creditor does not help because the debt is never going to be paid back. The solution therefore is to apply prudential measures and effective controls over the capital account. There is need for effective capital management techniques to help stop capital flight. In the face of liberalization of trade in services capital flight seem to be increasing instead of reducing.  According to Kari Heggstad and Odd Helge Fjeldstad capital flight in Africa is mainly done through methods such as; carrying-cash-out of the country and change it into other currencies abroad,  smuggling of money through easily convertible valuables across borders such as precious items (like gold, silver, art and jewellery), transfer pricing where the foreign buyer puts the difference in the price which is then put on foreign bank account in the exporter’s name, transferring money overseas through commissions and agent fees paid by foreign contractors into foreign bank accounts of residents and bank transfers from a local affiliate of a foreign institution to a designated recipient abroad . All these are trade in services related activities and so there is need to regulate against these methods with the aim of reducing capital flight and its effect. Africa must fight capital flight if the continent it to attain the desired economic development.

Saturday, January 21, 2012

An African Country needs an Economic or Commercial Diplomacy Strategy

Pursuant to the Policy guidelines a country needs to establish a strategy on economic diplomacy that will help it to optimally harness available international market opportunities. A number of countries in Africa are signatories to a number of trade and trade-related agreements and are also beneficiaries of non-reciprocal unilateral trade preferences which provide the country with varying levels of improved market access opportunities into the respective markets. These include the East African Community Customs Union, the COMESA, ECOWAS, SADC, IGAD ACP/EU, EPA Frameowrk Agreements, WTO, and the AU. The non-reciprocal unilateral trade preferences are Everything But Arms (EBA) by the European Union, the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) of the United States and offers by Canada, Japan and China under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP).
The Economic or Commercial Diplomacy Strategy involves activities designed to influence foreign government policies and regulatory policies that affect global trade and investment (through, multilateral trade negotiations, trade consultations and dispute settlement). Activities also involve Missions rendering government services to the business community which are aimed at developing beneficial international business ventures[1].
Government through the Ministry responsible for Trade in close collaboration with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs through the Economic or Commercial Diplomacy strategy should ensure effective management of the country’s external trade relations with foreign authorities and publics, as well as the process of negotiations and networking. Economic diplomatic activities should take place at both international level (bilateral, regional or multilateral) or within the country by enhancing with government engagements with the diplomatic missions accredited to the home country. Read more on why an African Country needs an Economic or Commercial Diplomacy Strategy
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